April 10, 2017 8:30 AM
#GA6 Filing Reports
The FEC shows reports for 13 of the 18 candidates in the GA-6 special election for the period ending March 29, 2017. Approximately $9.63 million was donated by individuals to those campaigns and another $3 million kicked in by the candidates, though $1.92 million was by Dan Moody alone. PACs added an additional $190,522, with almost all of that going to Jon Ossoff, Judson Hill, and Karen Handel. $9.44 million was spent by the campaigns through March 29.
The PDF below shows the information that was available as of last night. I have highlighted the highest in each column, excepting the Other category, with red for Republicans and blue for Democrats.
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If elected, So many favors to repay, so little time.
We need an expanded blind trust rule for politicians: put all political contributions into a blind trust to be distributed equally among the candidates and as budgeted to offices.
Maybe then they will focus on issues most of us care about.
Okay Karl Marx.
Ossof is at 43%. If the other Dem and independent voters go for him in the runoff, that puts him at 48%. So he would need to turn about 2% of those currently polling as R to win the general, or win the turnout battle.
I thought i’ve read in different threads that this is a 60/40 district. Is that precise, or is 42-43% the actual Dem base? Or perhaps, closer to 47-48% seems to be the above suggestion? Or is $8 mil buying/influencing any votes above 42%?
Beth,
It’s actually a bit of an open question what the district lean is these days, which is one reason this race has gotten a lot of attention. If you asked that question this time last year, people would have told you, accurately, 60-40 was the Dem best case scenario. Obama got 40% there in 08 but 37.5% in 12. Nunn got 38% and Carter 36% in 14. Nobody who ran against Price got better than 35% (but, to be fair, the people who ran against Price were mostly “Some Dudes” rather than actual well-funded competitors). However, Trump made a big difference in that district. Hillary Clinton lost the district by 1.5% (basically 46 to 47%) Even the underfunded ‘some dude’ got up to about 38% vs. Price, though Barksdale only got 37% vs. Isakson.
So, the open question coming into this race is what, exactly, kind of district is the 6th? If it’s the 46-47 district we got on the Presidential level in 2016, that has implications for many other districts Dems will be targeting nationwide next year: Suburban, sunbelt, highly educated places that were traditionally GOP but anti-Trump. Many of those had GOP congressmen who ran far ahead of Trump in their districts. If that anti-Trump undertow starts making itself felt down ballot, then that has major implications for a fair number of GOP congressmen and indeed their entire majority in the House. If Trump had lost, and then Tom Price had quit for some other job (so there’s a special election anyway) then I don’t think this would be a competitive race, and those defections would have been a one off. With Trump = GOP = Trump being a fact of life for four to eight years though, I think the down ballot undertow and subsequent shifts are real. Even if Ossoff doesn’t win, it’s going to be the closest race in the 6th in a long time. But it won’t be the last.