May 25, 2017 6:00 AM
Morning Reads – Thursday, May 25, 2017
On this date in 1787, the Constitutional convention opened in Philadelphia with George Washington presiding. Also on this date, in 1935, Babe Ruth hit his final home run, his 714th, and set a record that would stand for 39 years.
Peaches
- “A portentous election in the Peach State“
- Georgia named top filming location IN THE WORLD
- Little pre-k enrollment growth in Georgia
- Montana and Georgia – sister states of special elections
- Super PAC offers free rides for Georgia voters
- Trump’s proposed budget could hurt Northeast Georgia
- Georgia’s Civil War museum set to close
- Task forces in GA, AL honored for child porn investigations
Jimmy Carter
- A disturbing overreach
- One strange way to get name ID up ahead of an election
- Pastor inciting the masses by claiming ethnic cleansing goals for Trump
- Vermont caught using facial recognition programs illegally
- Rural residents continue to fight pipeline expansions near property
- 23 million to be uninsured under new health care plan?
Sweet Tea
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Repub candidate body slams lib reporter in Montana? LOL! Hell, he wins in a landslide now! Dare I say his victory will be a…wait for it…. “slam dunk!’ Thank you, thank you very much!! LOL!
Misdemeanor charge, though. Anybody know if he has a GoFundMe defense fund set up? Kind of like that Waffle House waitress who shot over the head of the trash. Simply got tired of the crap. You know what would garr-en-teee his victory? If Trump Tweets about it!!!!
https://ca.news.yahoo.com/democrats-hope-send-trump-republicans-message-montana-vote-060736234.html
This isn’t something to celebrate. It’s a distraction that we don’t need right now. If the guy can’t handle a reporter sticking a microphone in his face he won’t last long in DC.
Don’t tease me, Andrew!
He’s an actual billionaire. He has whole law firms on retainer – no need for the go fund me page.
It’s actually very simple to discredit the CBO’s numbers without body slamming someone.
1) The COB starts from a flawed starting point giving them a flawed outcome. They use the March 2016 baseline that says 18 million people will be in the exchange next year. There are currently 10.4 million in the exchange. It’s impossible to reach 18 million by next year. Flawed numbers lead to flawed numbers.
2) The CBO predictions for the number of people who would be in the exchange in 2017 are as follows. The years represent the year the report came out.
2010 – 23 million would be in ACA exchanges in 2017
2012 – 25 million
2014 – 25 million
ACTUAL – 10.4 million. They were only off by 100% or 14 million people.
So, no. I don’t trust the CBO to do a good job of predicting what will happen and you shouldn’t either. But I know some how you or GreB will blame republicans for all of this.
Yes, the CBO likely underestimates the number of uninsured. There are so many underlying assumptions that means it will always be just educated guesses, but the CBO will lean its assumptions in the direction of the requesting party in power. It just tilts the assumptions a bit, but won’t proceed under gross and incredulous assumptions. To me, a big chasm would be the range of state acvitities subsequent to the hypothetical passage of the bill. Medicaid will likely be disjointed more administratively difficult (the likely increased number of waivers would make more work, not less). Policies with streamlined benefits will mean insureds will be paying 130% a lot.
Even the friendliest estimates say it will reduce coverage by at least 5 million. But how many are covered isn’t really the criteria the GOP are going for, is it?
– Eliminate the mandate
– Reduce the deficit
– Give a tax break to upper income citizens
If a few or a lot of millions lose their health insurance along the way, well that’s just collateral damage.
Go ahead and pass that thing. I dare you.
I think if you actually read the CBO report you will find the phrase “lose their health coverage” no where. The CBO says people may decide to buy a cheaper plan that is not on the exchange. So you are counting that person as losing their insurance when in reality they may be simply buying something they want and not what the government tells them to buy.
So, no. I still don’t trust the CBO report after actually reading it.
Of course ppl will buy cheaper insurance. Bc they have little to no choice of other affordable plans. So that’s not really what consumers want either. Esp when their cheaper plan seems to exclude – god forbid- a genetic gastrointestinal disease which would require the ill to still go bankrupt to get the needed care. Pppl want cheap, sure, but they also want coverage. No hassle coverage. No denials of treatment, or highly inflated prices for treatment. That said, it’s understandandable that if ppl didn’t – by choice- insure themselves comprehensively, they should pay more when illness arrives. Rather, they should be allowed to “borrow” the insurance company’s dime for treatment, upon fair repayment terms. But, for those who buy Plan Z bc it’s all they can afford- that’s not choice, and it will mean many more ppl will wind up paying a lot more to insurers for treatment.
What it says is “some people would use the tax credits authorized by the act to purchase policies that would not cover major medical risks and that are not counted as insurance in this cost estimate.”
So yeah, people will be able to buy something that looks like insurance, but it’s really not. Because, capitalism.
It’s allowing people to buy what they want. I fail to see how that is a bad thing. I’ve been called intellectually dishonest quite a bit over the past few days. So I’ll just say everyone who counts a person that leaves the market place to buy something they want with their tax credit as “losing” health insurance intellectually dishonest.
But thank you for going and reading the CBO report.
“Does that mean more than 23 million will lose coverage?” No because there aren’t that many people that have converge to lose. It’s inflated and just not true.
“Did the CBO do a bad job when they showed that a 64 year old making $26,000 a year would see his premium increase from $1,700 to $16,000?” Yes, they did a bad job. It’s pretty clear from the numbers I posted above that they have an accuracy problem. Being off by 100% is a real problem.
“Democrats are willing to work on Obamacare reforms, maybe try that route.” Sure they do.
Rep Blake Farenthold, R-Texas, says the DNC hack may have been “insider job.” CNN asks for evidence: “There’s stuff circulating on the internet.”
GOP brain Newt and Sean Hannity in addition to the internets this makes an insider job credible than anything the Precedent says. Trump should appoint VP Pence to look into it—it’s as important as the 3-5M fraudulent votes Pence is going to get to the bottom of.
I missed that news—will have to look into it.
Betsy DeVos, responding to a question about private schools that deny access to LGBT students receiving voucher money, said that it wasn’t the federal government’s business, but was for states and local governments to decide. When DeVos was subsequently asked if she saw a role for the federal government to intervene if a private school rejected African American students, DeVos repeated her answer.
96% of GOP Senators and VP Pence confirmed Devos as Education Secretary. Does the GOP owes its governing majority to racism, or does it confirm incompetence? You make the call.
The lack of pre-K growth due to lack of expansion in pre-K classrooms comes down to different departments of government agencies with their various funding streams, and who controls what and where classrooms can be created. Same thing with integrating the tech system, college courses, and Headstart with K-12 education. Every government body has their own fiefdoms with rules, standards, record keeping, etc., and none of them play well with others.
A school building is owned by the local school system. It is its own government body (fiefdom) and holds the deed to the property, plus the liability and insurance requirements of the building. Setting local tax collection to the side for a moment, the way the state budget is structured, school systems are funded by the state for K-12 education only – this includes whatever money they receive for new construction. The ESPLOST law is written so the money can only be used for K-12 construction use, and so on. You can’t add a line saying we are building a new Pre-K wing to your systems ESPLOST. You can write a line ESPLOST to fund a new $20 million high school football stadium, but not pre-K instruction.
If you want to have additional pre-K classrooms, who pays for the actual classroom. You might say the regulating body of the pre-k funds from the lottery, which is separate state governing fiefdom know as Bright Start. Some of the funds go towards ‘building environment’. On average the funding is part of the yearly total the state hands out to cover the total cost per year -on average less the $100.00 per child. If you have an existing classroom, this should cover use. Most systems do not. K-12 overcrowding is such that systems have variance for student sizes or portables. In most cases you need find a new pre-K classroom.
On average, new classroom construction in Georgia ranges $120 to over $180 a square foot depending on location and available labor. (Larger urban areas and coastal systems that have higher wind loads and rural systems with soil and limited water pressure and/or sewer issues will cost more in general – prior to any labor issues). A pre-K classroom has at be at least 750 SF (I’ll explain why later). Additionally, the folks at Bright Star have rules about restrooms to make sure little kids (4 year olds) and big kids (anyone older than 6) don’t meet. So they need their own bathrooms (56 SF min), and they must separate for each sex under plumbing code so you need two for each classroom or a pair of classrooms can share with a connecting vestibule – adding 100 to 130 sf to each classroom. Somewhere a school system needs to find $102,000 – $160,000 to pay for 1 (one) new fully finished unfurnished pre-K classroom with restrooms without using state funds or ESPLOST. If your system is lucky, it might get a good chuck from an educational block grant (if they still exist in the federal budget in the future) for reasons ranging from level or poverty, rural average income, number of HUD units in the school location, military defendant funds, etc. If your system is not lucky but it is committed, they will place it as a line item to be funded by property tax collection. Since most systems can’t pay for what they already need without raising tax rates, local BOE’s end up not building more Pre-K classrooms since they are not legally required to have a pre-k program. Any parent can sign up for a local free pre-k program some private school, daycare, YMCA or church program has and they don’t have as many state K-12 requirements as a school system has as a taxpayer Title II entity under the Civil Liberties Act.
The school system could remodel an old existing building that is currently not assigned a current school code. Many system have older building they maintain after modern replacements were built. However, these buildings were removed from use for a reason. Location, cost to operate, environmental hazards… Most will require extreme renovations and ADA updating that is costly. Some are no longer fully insurable to be used by minors. If can be done, but you still need to pay for it at anywhere from $70 – $150 a square foot.
Most schools will resort to new classrooms to existing schools or added to new construction for a couple of reasons. The first is having to do with future needs and classroom inventory. Under GABOE rules, even if the state did not fund the construction, it can still be counted as part of your systems over all inventory for future enrolment, which makes it eligible for state funds and ESLOST at a later date. 10 years from now you might need to add an additional wing to the building or the school which was a Pre-K -8 become a pre-K -5. This will shift classroom use. Or your system got a huge grant for all new pre-k classrooms from somewhere. In order for the existing Pre-K to become a K-12 classroom, it has to meet the state minimum size requirements for a K-2nd grade classroom, which by law, has to be 750 SF. You didn’t think systems built shiny new pre-K classrooms without at long term chess move in mind did you? All you need to do to turn a 750 SF pre-Kindergarten classroom in to a Kindergarten classroom is take the ‘PRE’ off the sign next to the door and switch out some furniture.
Another reason to have a pre-K as part of the elementary school program is shared resources in the building. You already have food services on site, special education assistants, media centers, admin staff and bookkeepers, and bus drop offs. Less you have to ay for over years of use. They still need their own playground (so sayeth the Lords at Bright Start), but they can now use any overlapping program a K-2 would use.
If some one can figure out how the state can fund pre-K construction, we would have more classrooms and more enrollment.